DEL MAR – October 24 2012: Goooodd Monday morning Saannnn
Diiieggoooo!!! A big week in mortgage and real estate happenings has taken
place since I last wrote you. Chairman of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke made
a speech on Wednesday of last week that was expected to move rates downward in
a big way, according to some forecasters. While rates did improve slightly, the
impact was hardly earth-shaking.
In other news of
the day, the Federal Open Market Committee(FOMC) voted to leave the Fed Funds
Rate unchanged within its current target range of 0.000-0.250%, with Fed.
Bernanke repeating his August 2011 performance where he gave an approximate 2
year forecast of assured low rates, this time into 2015. The vote was nearly
unanimous for the ninth consecutive meeting, with Richmond Federal Reserve
President Jeffrey Lacker the lone dissenter in another 9-1 vote. The Fed Funds
Rate has hovered near zero percent since December of 2008.
The Federal Reserve
noted that since its last meeting six weeks ago the U.S. economy has been “expanding
at a moderate pace,” led by growth in household spending. The Fed. Went on to
disclaim that “strains in global financial markets” continue to loom as a
threat to our economy here stateside, as I’ve written about in great detail in
past columns(Greece, Italy, the EU, yikes!).
Amidst citing
slower than preferable job growth in the private sector, with unemployment
again rising, the Fed threw a little sunshine of Housing, noting that there
have been “further signs” of improvement, albiet “from a depressed level."
A large part of
Bernanke’s speech and the FOMC press release was spent affirming commitment to
the most recent stimulus program, a bond-buying program known as QE3. Through QE3,
the Federal Reserve has been purchasing $40 billion in mortgage-backed bonds
monthly, a measure that has drawn criticism from opponents who point out that
there is no defined “end date” to the program. QE3 was designed to suppress
U.S. mortgage rates, and like any action via the Fed., implied or otherwise, a
large segment of folks will always find it government meddling and intrusion in
the marketplace. But the proof is in the pudding. QE3 has kept mortgage rates
at all-time lows, and has therefore helped to stimulate mortgage movement, in
the purchase market, and especially refinances.
If you have any
questions about rates, qualifying, or are looking to sell or buy property, feel
free to call me, Jason Bernabei, CEO of TriCastle Realty, and I’m happy to help
put you on the right path. In the interim, I promise to keep reading and
researching up on all this stuff in hopes of communicating to you, my audience,
dense and stuffy information in an easy to understand way.
Jay’s Outlook: partly sunny
Jason Bernabei,
TriCastle Realty